March 12thOn the same day, Ukrainian President Zelensky issued a routine video speech stating that Ukraine will cease fire on the entire front line30 days. He stated that Ukraine is prepared for peace, while Russia will indicate whether it wants to end or continue the war.  

Previously, the Ukrainian delegation met with the US delegation in Saudi Arabia. The United States has accepted Ukraine's proposal and will persuade Russia to implement itA 30 day comprehensive ceasefire will take effect immediately if the Russian side agrees.

However, the development of the situation was still unexpected, and the ceasefire negotiations ultimately reached a deadlock. The tracking of hot events in this issue will provide a detailed analysis of the negotiations.

Russia agrees to ceasefire proposal

March 13thUS President Trump's Middle East envoy, Vitkov, has arrived in Moscow for consultations with the Russian government on the Russia Ukraine situation. Russian President Putin said that Russia agreed with the US proposal for a ceasefire, but any ceasefire should achieve lasting peace and must address the root causes of the conflict. He thanked Trump for his efforts to end the Russia Ukraine war and said that Russia needs to discuss details with Washington.

Russia agrees to suspend attacks on energy facilities30 days

March 21stRussian President Putin had a two-and-a-half-hour conversation with US President Trump, but still did not accept the ceasefire proposed by Trump and agreed upon by UkraineThe 30 day proposal only agrees to suspend attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure and immediately issue relevant orders to the Russian military. Ukrainian President Zelensky has preliminarily expressed support for this ceasefire agreement.

Ukraine and Russia agree to cease fire in the Black Sea

March 26thOn the same day, the Kremlin released the results of the Russia US expert group's talks in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Ukraine and Russia agreed to ensure safe shipping in the Black Sea, refrain from the use of force, and prevent the use of merchant ships for military purposes, which is consistent with earlier statements from the White House.

Russia recaptures two settlements in Kuzhou again

March 31stOn the battlefield between Russia and Ukraine, the Russian military advanced step by step and then recaptured themKursk OblastTwo settlements. According to data from the Russian Ministry of Defense, the Ukrainian military suffered losses of approximately220 soldiers, one tank, one infantry fighting vehicle, and one armored fighting vehicle.  

Kiev suffers another large-scale attack, leading to a stalemate in Russia Ukraine negotiations

April 7thRussia launched its most intense missile attack on Kiev in weeks, with explosions echoing through the capital and thick smoke rising from multiple areas. People flocked to nearby shelters seeking refuge. This is the first time Ukraine has experienced such a large-scale missile and drone attack since the United States announced at the end of last month that it facilitated a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine.

Russia attacks Sumy city for brewing32 deaths and 83 injuries

On April 15th, Russia launchedballistic missileAttacking the northeastern Ukrainian city of Sumy. Causing at least 32 deaths and 83 injuries. The local authorities in Sumy have released videos showing people fleeing in all directions, cars catching fire, and injured civilians falling to the ground, including seven children among the 83 injured. It is reported that Sumy is close to the Russian border and has been under serious attacks for weeks.

Zelensky posted on social media, calling on Europe and the United States to take actionHe strongly responded, stating that without truly strong pressure and appropriate support for Ukraine, Russia will continue to delay this war.

Since the Russia-Ukraine conflict2014Crimean IncidentFermentation, fully upgraded to large-scale military confrontation in 2022, with core contradictions revolving aroundnato expansionThreats, Ukraine's "de Russification" policy, and Russia's sovereignty claims over Crimea and the four eastern regions of Ukraine.

up toIn April 2025, the Russian military took actual control of Crimea and the four provinces of Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson, while the Ukrainian army continued to counterattack with Western military assistance, but the battlefield showed a situation of "Russian attack and Ukrainian defense". The recent ceasefire negotiations have been deadlocked due to the significant disparity in positions between the two sides. Although Russia has recently expressed its willingness to engage in "unconditional negotiations", it still demands core conditions such as international recognition of its sovereignty over the controlled area, Ukraine's refusal to join NATO, and the lifting of sanctions; The Ukrainian side insists that the ceasefire must be based on "territorial integrity", refuses to cede land, and demands NATO or similar security guarantees.

The Trump administration in the United States attempted to mediate by proposing plans such as recognizing Crimea as part of Russia and sending European troops to Ukraine, but was seen by the Ukrainian side asThe Russian side also accuses the US of not addressing the root cause of the conflict and only pursuing a tactical ceasefire, as it seeks peace through territorial division.

Between Russia and Ukraine,The dawn of peace is still out of reach

The root of the Russia-Ukraine conflict is the triple superposition of historical scars, geopolitical games and cultural faults. The East Slavic bloodline, which has been of the same origin for thousands of years, evolved into a torn identity between Crimea and the Russian speaking region of eastern Ukraine after the dissolution of the Soviet Union. NATO's five rounds of eastward expansion bring military frontiers closer to the Russian border, UkraineIn 2019, joining NATO will be written into the constitution, directly crossing Moscow's strategic red line.

ButThe essence of the current stalemateofcorrectThe zero sum game between "territorial sovereignty" and "security guarantee". The Russian side is attempting to solidify the achievements of the battlefield, using military advantages to force Ukraine to accept the territorial status quo, and reshaping the European security order through ceasefire negotiations; The Ukrainian side, relying on Western support, tied the ceasefire to joining NATO or obtaining collective defense commitments, attempting to trade time for space.

The dynamics of the battlefield also affect negotiations. Recently, the Russian army recaptured Kursk Oblast and launched a fierce attack on Sumy city, while the Ukrainian army counterattacked energy facilities within Russia. Both sides accused each other of using the ceasefire period to supplement their forces, and the trust deficit is difficult to bridge. If the United States, Russia, and Ukraine cannot compromise on core issues such as territorial ownership and security architecture, the conflict may evolve into a long-term war of attrition, and the dawn of peace remains elusive.