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Qingqiao's viewpoint: Mertz was born in 1955 and joined the Christian Democratic Union of Germany during his high school years. In 1994, Mertz became a member of the German Federal Parliament and entered politics from then on. Mertz loudly declared his intention to "end Europe's subservient status to the United States" and advocated for the establishment of a 200 billion euro defense fund to increase Germany's military spending to 3% of GDP within five years. The German economy has been under multiple pressures in recent years. In 2023 and 2024, Germany fell into negative growth for two consecutive years. The government has lowered its growth forecast for 2025 to zero, which means that the German economy may not have achieved growth for the third consecutive year. Mertz's radical slogan of "breaking the American vassal" and his bold gamble blueprint of "expanding the military by billions" to ascend to the position of Chancellor are like throwing a political deep-water bomb into the ice sea of negative economic growth in Germany - his idea of using military investment to leverage the economic engine is actually a risky gamble. At the end of the Cold War, the Soviet Union pushed its fiscal deficit to 15% of GDP in order to maintain the arms race, and the industrial system ultimately collapsed due to resource depletion; During the Reagan era, the United States stimulated the military industry with "Star Wars," ultimately resulting in a hollowing out of the manufacturing industry and a decline in the middle class at the cost of $2.5 trillion in debt. 01South Korea and the United States conduct their first anti space threat war game simulation Qingqiao's viewpoint: The space threat has escalated, and global anti space weapon technology is showing trends such as concealment, normalization of electronic warfare, and vulnerability of commercial satellites to attacks. Technical threats such as GPS signal interference and directed energy weapon testing continue to exist. Russia North Korea military cooperation deepens, and North Korea continues to advance its nuclear missile program. Since 2022, South Korea and the United States have signed multiple cooperation agreements in areas such as space situational awareness, satellite navigation, and joint exercises, promoting the transformation of space military cooperation from exploration projects to practical combat. The proliferation of soft killing methods such as electronic warfare and satellite interference has made space the "fourth battlefield" after land, sea, and air. The Outer Space Treaty signed by humanity in 1967 still remains at the original definition of "non deployment of weapons of mass destruction", without mentioning new threats such as electronic interference and cyber attacks. How do these Stone Age terms constrain Star Wars in the digital age? 01Over 20000 unsold homes in Malaysia by 2024 Qingqiao's viewpoint: As of 2024, Malaysia's household debt to GDP ratio is 89.3%, the highest in Southeast Asia. The resident savings rate has dropped from 28% in 2019 to 22% in 2024, with 56% of households saving less than three months for basic expenses, and the middle-class savings rate dropping to a historic low of 6.2%. Malaysian developers are focusing on launching serviced apartments worth RM800000 to RM1.2 million, while actual demand is concentrated on affordable housing below RM350000. The Bank of Malaysia has raised the down payment ratio for homebuyers to 20% -30%, and the loan interest rate remains at a high level of 4.5% -5.5%. The phenomenon of over 20000 unsold housing units in Malaysia in 2024 is the result of multiple structural contradictions and policy regulation, reflecting deep-seated problems such as the mismatch between supply and demand in the real estate market, intensified household debt risks, and the failure of monetary policy transmission mechanisms. 01Thai government restarts peace talks with southern separatist group There has been a sudden increase in violent incidents in southern Thailand recently. As of early May, there have been 38 violent incidents this year, with casualties including the elderly, weak, civilians, Buddhist monks, law enforcement personnel, etc. Thai Prime Minister Petantan stated that the government has deployed additional troops to the south to establish road inspections to ensure public safety, and is ready to restart peace negotiations with the separatist organization in the south. However, the condition is that the separatist organization must cease all violent actions and cannot demand to leave Thailand. Qingqiao's viewpoint: South Thailand was originally ruled by Malay Muslims as the Sultanate of Pattani. After being ceded to Thailand by the Anglo Siamese Treaty in 1909, the local Malay community refused to recognize Thai sovereignty. In 1948, the independence movement in southern Thailand was suppressed, and separatism became a "pressure cooker" instead of being eradicated. It remains a volcano of ethnic conflict in Thailand to this day. Since 2004, armed conflicts in southern Thailand have resulted in over 7300 deaths. Previously, the peace talks between the Thai authorities and the separatist organization made positive progress, but after the Thai government took office, the peace talks between the two sides stalled. True peace does not lie in a ceasefire agreement, but in the ability to build an inclusive identity and development vision. Historical experience has shown that military repression and superficial reconciliation will only lead to periodic recurrence of conflicts. Qingqiao's viewpoint: This round of market trend is the result of the dual drive of military aerospace and civil aviation: in the context of international tension, the demand for upgrading military aircraft, missiles and other weapons and equipment continues to be released; At the same time, new forms of low altitude economy represented by drones and electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft are opening up trillion dollar market space for the industry.
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